Calif. – Global traffic on
peer-to-peer file-sharing networks now totals 3.5 exabytes per month, and is expected
to grow at a moderate pace with a compound annual growth rate of 16% from 2009
to 2014, according to Cisco’s (NASD: CSCO) Visual Networking Index.
Other means of
file-sharing, such as the use of one-click file-hosting services like
RapidShare and MegaUpload, are expected to grow rapidly at a CAGR of 47%, and
will reach 4 exabytes per month in 2014.
However, despite this growth,
peer-to-peer as a percentage of all consumer Internet traffic is expected to
drop from 39% in 2009 to 17% by 2014.
Meanwhile, video now accounts for over
one-third of all consumer Internet traffic, and is expected to surpass global
peer-to-peer traffic and reach 40% by the end of 2010.
The shift would mark the
first time since 2000 that peer-to-peer traffic did not represent the largest
sector of global consumer Internet traffic, Cisco noted.
Overall, the Internet
is expected to be four times larger in 2014 than it was in 2009.